Friday, December 17, 2010

Here We Go....

NWS is leaning towards my idea of the colder solution with this storm. Precip has gotten an early start today especially on the North end of the lake and that should increase snow totals during the day today. Looking for 4-8 inches in the Village and 8-12 inches on the mountain today. Then another 8-12 inches in the Village tonight and 12-24 inches on the mountain. Total snow by morning on the mountain should be in the 2-3 foot range.

The snowfall looks to be much lighter during the day Saturday in between the 2 strong waves of moisture. Snowfall looks to be in the 3-6 inch range in the Village and 6-10 inch range on the mountain. Then the snowfall picks up again Saturday night into Sunday. 5-10 inches in the Village Saturday night and another 8-16 inches on Sunday. The mountain picks up 10-20 inches Saturday night and another 1-2 feet on Sunday. By Sunday night total storm snowfall should be around 2-3 feet in the Village. On the mountain we should see 3-5 feet with the higher amounts on top.

Light snow continues Sunday night and Monday with several more inches possible. The next big storm arrives Tuesday and that looks colder as well today. The heaviest precip looks to go South of us so less precip but should be all snow below lake level. Right now I would estimate around 2-3 feet of additional snow on the mountain and 1-2 feet in the Village Tuesday and Wednesday. Total 6 day total by Wednesday could be in the 5-8 foot range above 7000 ft, and 3-5 feet in the Village.

The Euro today wants to bring one last wave with more snow on Thursday, but the GFS wants to clear out into Christmas weekend. Should be much better driving on Friday and Saturday. Sunday it looks as if another storm will move in. We could be in for quite a bit of snow for the next month or two with the pattern we have right now. More details on the dynamics of the pattern in the post below. Have fun and be safe. BA

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