Monday, March 9, 2009

Model Mayhem.....

Woke up to a nice fresh coating of snow this morning from the cold front that went thru last night. Temps will be cold today with highs in the teens & 20's on the mtn.

Quiet weather looks to return Tuesday as that ridge off the coast moves a little closer and blocks off storm activity. Temps should start to warm a little on Wed. into the end of the week as a ridge builds over the Eastern Pacific.

Models have had no consistency & virtually no agreement going into the weekend & next week. That makes it hard to have much confidence in the pattern. The storm that was once forecast for Friday is going to get cut-off from the main flow of the jetstream and sit & spin out in the Central Pacific like other storms have been doing in the past month. The question is does the storm kick East this weekend & affect CA, or sit & spin till the next storm picks it up and arrives for next Tuesday. Once that happens it does look like we have the possibility of being stormy for a while, but the question is where exactly does the ridge in the Central Pacific setup. As of right now it looks like we will be on the Southern end of cold storms hitting the Pac NW. I'll keep you posted & hopefully we can get some more consistency the next day or two. BA

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

So have the models thrown the Rex Block out the door then?

BA said...

yes, the high pressure still wants to block forward movement of the low, but it looks like it will be able to go up and around the high then come down on the East side of it into CA as the high retrogresses Westward. Hopefully it will stay there so storms can continue to come down the East side into CA.

Anonymous said...

Temps looking pretty warm next week?

BA said...

not looking too warm, if storminess is even close it should stay on the colder side.