Thursday, February 25, 2010

Make Up Your Mind......

Northstar picked up 6 more inches yesterday morning bringing the total to 16 inches for the storm at the summit.

Models lost all agreement on tomorrow's storm in the past 24 hours. GFS wants to tilt the storm giving it a South to North orientation as it comes onshore. We have seen this before where that causes two things, the storm to b warmer and for the storm to have less push over the crest into Tahoe. That scenario drops a foot above 7000 ft. with less below due to higher snow levels. The NAM still wants to blast us with 18+ inches above 7000 ft.  I see snow levels coming up to lake level to start the storm but not as high as the NWS is saying, up to 7500 ft. That would definitely limit snowfall at the village level. Some models are also re-suggesting that the jetstream dives to our South splitting the storm. They had all lost this idea yesterday morning.

Overall I'm going to go with 6-12 inches in the Village with 12-18 inches above 7000 ft. Will definitely be watching today to try and get a much better handle on the storm by tomorrow morning. Snow should start falling by later tomorrow afternoon.

Wednesday storm still on track to bring moderate amounts of snow with another storm possible the following weekend. BA

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