Summertime...

Summer finally arrived this past week & I finally got the tube on the river this past Saturday. Looks like the warm weather remains thru the 4th of July weekend. A disturbance over Nevada & an increase in Southerly flow off the ocean may trigger some more thunderstorms for Wed. & Thurs. afternoons. The weekend looks nice though.

Cooler air may be on tap to start next week with a storm coming in to our North, then I think we warm up again. Should have the June re-cap ready in few days. BA

Cold June....

So far June has not only been wet but cold as well. Truckee is running 6 degrees below average for the month. A warm up is in store today and again during the weekend, will we finally break 80 for the first time this month? We have only broken 70 2 days so far & avg. high is around 76 this week. Reno is only a 100th of an inch off the second wettest June since 1870. I will be doing a more detailed recount of the month & first half of the year at the end of June. One thing I will talk about is the temps being below avg. 5 of the last 6 months. The change in May & June as far as moisture may be the first signs of the disappearance of La Nina & the now mild El Nino that may be showing.

As far as this week there is a storm splitting off the Pac NW coast today. The southern half of that storm will slide down the coast & come in South of us across Central CA tomorrow & Thursday. We should just see some clouds & a slight chance of thunderstorms for a couple days with slightly cooler temps. Looks like things dry out & warm up for the weekend.

A ridge may finally try to build over us for the first & second week of July. This could push temps well into the 80's finally just in time for the 4th of July. Lots of people are wondering about the remainder of the summer. There is no crystal ball but looking at the pattern developing over the Pacific it suggests that the periods of cooler & showery weather could continue to show up off & on throughout the summer. It won't get really interesting until we see if the pattern holds into October so we can finally get a good early season of snow. BA

Spring Holds On.....

So it now looks as if my tube is going to have to sit on the shelf a bit longer. Since I posted at the biginning of the week it now appears that the cold front coming in this weekend is a bit stronger & faster than was previously thought.

Today will be the warmest day of the next 5 with temps in the mid 70's. Tomorrow night a cold front comes thru which will bring some rain showers, but the it should be mostly sunny for the weekend with temps in the 60's.

Temps will start to warm again next week into the 70's. The main ridge never really moves though & stays out near 150w. Actually looking at long-range models it stays there for a couple of weeks. This keeps a trough near the West Coast, which in the summer just means there is moisture around for thunderstorms to develop in the afternoons. Also it keeps temps from getting into the 80's. This pattern would be a dream in the winter. BA

Summer to Arrive by End of Week....

Finally, after another cold & wet weekend & one more shot at showers tonight into tomorrow, the summer ridge will build in by Wed. This should bring temps back into the 70's by Thursday & then near 80 on Friday. Should stay dry & in the 70's thru the following week. I'll let you know if this changes, otherwise I'll be out enjoying summer finally until further notice. BA

Wet Start to Summer....

Moisture & instability left behind by the storm that came onshore over the weekend will keep the weather stormy. With the heating of the sun in the afternoons we should see thunderstorms, much the same as the past couple of weeks. The temps will be in the mid 60's today & tomorow, & then around 60 the rest of the week.

Next week there is the possibility that another storm dives down the West coast bringing more rain. Temps should stay cool & thunderstorms should continue.

One of the problems is that the high pressure that is normally over the West coast in the summer is out over the Pacific around 150w. That is the spot that in the winter is perfect for us to get lots of storms. I don't see any real stretches of warm weather returning until at least the last week of the month. I'll keep you posted....BA

Update......

The storm has been circling overhead for most of the day. It's been snowing above 7500 ft. down near Mammoth & up near Shasta & Lassen. We have been in the dry slot right in the center of the storm. It's even raining to our East in Carson & Reno. As the storm shifts East going into tonight & the sun continues to heat the atmosphere we should have a chance at rain forming on the West side of the storm & snow above 7500 ft.

Snow Friday Night?

Latest models drop the snow levels to or slightly below 8,000 ft. on Friday night. We may wake up to the top of the mountains in a fresh coat of snow Sat. morning. It may accumulate too as some heavy precip looks possible with the storm coming onshore Friday night into Sat. Highs Fri. now look to struggle to hit 50 even in Truckee & the 40's every place above that.

I will update snow totals as the storm gets closer. It's hard to predict in the summer as the models tend to overdue the precip in summer. Gotta love summer snow, maybe we can get snow every month this year......BA