No changes on Thurs/Fri storms, 6-12 inches.
Monday storm should be another foot, but it will bring much colder air in for next week.
The main point of this post is the rest of the month. Ridge is out around 140w and should slowly move back to 150w and 160w over the next few weeks. The more it moves back the, the more each storm can dig South and tap into more moisture. The storms should get progressively wetter/snowier as we go thru the month. The idea of a big Feb. is not new. There are many factors that will be working in our favor. The new 12z GFS model is a perfect example of how the pattern should evolve.
The trend of the models over the past week has been for them to show storms going North of us more than a week out and then bringing them further South as the storm gets closer. That is the case with the storm for next Monday and now they are doing the same with the storm for next Thursday.
The storm door is open starting tomorrow. The first few storms will prime the pump and then it’s “Game On!”. There are some suggestions that the snowpack in the Sierra will be double by the end of the month. It’s definitely possible with the pattern that could set up. I get more excited each day but with the way winter has gone so far I am holding on to some reservations. I think I’ll feel better after the first multiple foot dump, how bout you? BA
Wednesday, February 4, 2009
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2 comments:
Hi, greetings from snowy England.
I'm coming to Tahoe on February 22nd, so I'm hoping for some good snow. Thankfully the chances are looking good - thanks for keeping things positive.
Glad to see it's just not the English who are obsessed by the weather !
You aren't kidding "snowy England". You guys are getting the brunt so far of Global cooling in the Northern hemishere. I like that your newspapers can challenge politicians with scientific data that suggest the earth is actually cooling, and not have to worry about losing their jobs.
You coming out for the Dew Tour? We are hoping to get alot of snow for it.
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