The trend of the models today is to delay the onset of the precipitation until Thursday and to lower snow levels a little. That means it should be all snow over most of the mountain through Friday night and down to the Village from Saturday and beyond.
The snow should begin to fall by Thursday afternoon. By Friday morning we are looking for around 2-4 inches in the Village, 3-6 inches at the base lodge, and 6-9 inches at the summit.
A bigger storm moves in on Friday lasting into Saturday with lots of moisture. A little bit of forecast model disagreement on the total precip and on the snow levels. Right now it looks like the snow levels may briefly rise just above the base lodge Friday night before falling Saturday morning.
We could pick up 1-2 feet on the mountain through Saturday. That brings the storm totals up 18 inches at the base lodge and up to 3 feet at the summit. In the Village we could pick up several inches during the day Saturday.
Sunday we have another big storm that is colder with snow levels down to lake level. This storm looks like it could bring 1-2 feet of snow to the entire mountain. Then there is another storm for Tuesday into Wednesday that could bring several inches or more.
Total snowfall through next Wednesday looks like we could hit 3 feet at the base lodge and 5+ feet at the summit. These amounts could still increase or decrease but that is the best estimate as of today's forecast model runs. BA
Tuesday, January 17, 2012
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